This Pollster Is Saying This Is The Most Important Chart Of The 2020 US Presidential Election

Zero Hedge/Cascend: Cascend: "This Is The Most Important Chart Of The 2020 Election" 

This is the most important chart of the 2020 election: 

 * Trump starts with a less-stable base 

 * But 216 of 535 Electoral College votes are too close to call 

 * Let that sink in: 40% of Electoral College votes appear too close to conclusively call as of today 

 * Even if we assume that states with only a 2% or greater spread are set, 66 Electoral College votes are up-for-grabs 

 * 2% spread is well within margins of error – it’s really a toss-up 

 * Sentiment analysis suggests Biden may squeak by 

 * But swing states are really toss-ups and targeted action can drastically change this race 

Our methodology is very different from a traditional pollster: 

 * We utilize our proprietary consumer demand sentiment technology to elucidate trends in specific interests, much as we would measure brand activity 

 * In 2016 our models suggested an 80% chance that Donald Trump would win the general election versus Hillary Clinton 

 * Our models currently predict a much tighter race than in 2020 

 * However, the spreads are tighter in key states and public opinion is far more volatile in 2020 than in 2016 

Read more .... 

WNU Editor: I like their methodology. It is very different from how polls are being done today. They gave Donald Trump an 80% probability of winning in 2016, and in this election cycle they are predicting a very tight race. These results however are already out of date. They are from last week, and IMHO a lot has changed on the ground since then (i.e. President Trump's performance in the debate, Hunter Biden, etc.).

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